Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-04-11 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

PIT: 62.7%

DET: 37.3%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.41

DET: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PIT at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	PIT 5 - 1 DET	PIT	PIT
2026-01-03	DET 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-01-01	PIT 4 - 3 DET	PIT	PIT
2024-12-31	DET 4 - 2 PIT	DET	DET
2024-11-13	PIT 2 - 3 DET	DET	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	15	1	1.34
1	DET	11	2	1.51
2	PIT	11	0	0.83
2	DET	20	1	1.44
3	PIT	10	0	0.57
3	DET	12	0	1.08
4	PIT	2	0	0.13
4	DET	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7