Montreal Canadiens at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-04-11 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 60.3%
MTL: 39.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.45
MTL: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | NYI | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NYI at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | MTL | ||
| 2025-03-20 | NYI 4 - 3 MTL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-03 | MTL 2 - 1 NYI | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-10-19 | NYI 4 - 3 MTL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-11 | NYI 3 - 2 MTL | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:17 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 03:42 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:30 | NYI | Goal |
| 4 | 01:17 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7