San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-04-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 65.3%

SJS: 34.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.91

SJS: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	23	1	1.57
1	SJS	19	0	0.42
2	SEA	21	2	1.39
2	SJS	8	1	0.92
3	SEA	26	1	1.87
3	SJS	9	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.9 - 3.1