Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-04-12 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 58.1%

CGY: 41.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.09

CGY: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.42
1	CGY	16	0	1.39
2	ANA	11	1	0.82
2	CGY	21	1	1.78
3	ANA	15	1	0.87
3	CGY	12	1	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0