Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-04-12 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 54.2%
CGY: 45.8%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.07
CGY: 3.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | ANA | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.810 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • ANA at home vs CGY: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | CGY 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | CGY |
| 2025-04-09 | ANA 4 - 3 CGY | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-03 | CGY 4 - 1 ANA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-30 | CGY 4 - 1 ANA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-07 | ANA 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 1 | 11:53 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 05:43 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 02:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:13 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:01 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:22 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:19 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 3.6