Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-04-12 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

VGK: 52.3%

MIN: 47.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.05

MIN: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	11	2	1.91
1	MIN	17	0	0.98
2	VGK	7	1	0.37
2	MIN	10	0	0.54
3	VGK	22	2	1.71
3	MIN	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2