Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-04-12 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 61.0%
MIN: 39.0%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.20
MIN: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | VGK | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.902 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | VGK 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | VGK |
| 2025-11-16 | MIN 3 - 2 VGK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-05-01 | MIN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | MIN |
| 2025-04-29 | VGK 3 - 2 MIN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-26 | MIN 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:57 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 06:21 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 08:35 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:42 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:27 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 07:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 10:49 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 13:55 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 7 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8