Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-04-13 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 7 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 65.0%
WPG: 35.0%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.96
WPG: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 12 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 1 | WPG | 19 | 1 | 1.60 |
| 2 | COL | 15 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 2 | WPG | 15 | 0 | 1.25 |
| 3 | COL | 24 | 0 | 1.28 |
| 3 | WPG | 5 | 0 | 0.29 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 7 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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