New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-04-13 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PHI: 53.7%

NJD: 46.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.35

NJD: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	NJD 1 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-11-29	NJD 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	NJD
2025-11-22	PHI 6 - 3 NJD	PHI	PHI
2025-03-09	PHI 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	PHI
2025-01-29	NJD 5 - 0 PHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	18	0	1.13
1	NJD	9	1	0.62
2	PHI	6	0	0.35
2	NJD	8	1	0.60
3	PHI	14	2	1.41
3	NJD	12	1	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.7