Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-13 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 57.0%

VAN: 43.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.86

VAN: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	1	1.68
1	VAN	14	0	0.71
2	EDM	12	0	0.59
2	VAN	14	0	0.81
3	EDM	15	1	1.07
3	VAN	9	2	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 1 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.9 - 2.6