Colorado Avalanche at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-04-14 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 59.9%
COL: 40.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.21
COL: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | VGK | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.854 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • VGK at home vs COL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-27 | VGK 5 - 6 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-10-31 | VGK 2 - 4 COL | COL | VGK |
| 2025-04-08 | COL 3 - 2 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-27 | COL 2 - 1 VGK | COL | COL |
| 2024-10-09 | VGK 8 - 4 COL | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:26 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:34 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:50 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:56 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:35 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 4 | 01:23 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0