Arizona Coyotes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-04-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

CGY: 52.3%

ARI: 47.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.09

ARI: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs ARI: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-14	CGY 6 - 5 ARI	CGY	CGY
2024-01-16	CGY 3 - 2 ARI	CGY	ARI
2024-01-11	ARI 2 - 6 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	13	1	1.06
1	ARI	19	1	1.30
2	CGY	9	1	0.59
2	ARI	16	0	0.74
3	CGY	21	0	0.92
3	ARI	15	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0