New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-04-15 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 1 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 51.7%

NYI: 48.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.88

NYI: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NJD at home vs NYI: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	8	0	0.50
1	NYI	9	0	0.80
2	NJD	14	0	1.07
2	NYI	9	1	0.68
3	NJD	11	0	0.41
3	NYI	14	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 1 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2