Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-04-15 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 48.9%

NSH: 51.1%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.14

NSH: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-16	PIT 4 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2025-11-14	NSH 2 - 1 PIT	NSH	NSH
2025-02-01	PIT 3 - 0 NSH	PIT	PIT
2024-12-19	NSH 4 - 5 PIT	PIT	NSH
2024-04-15	PIT 4 - 2 NSH	PIT	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	26	2	2.15
1	NSH	7	0	0.44
2	PIT	15	0	0.81
2	NSH	21	4	1.78
3	PIT	15	3	2.03
3	NSH	13	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3