San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-15 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 9 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

EDM: 76.3%

SJS: 23.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.99

SJS: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	0	1.16
1	SJS	9	0	0.38
2	EDM	19	4	2.32
2	SJS	9	0	0.54
3	EDM	19	0	0.77
3	SJS	14	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 9 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 3.3