Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-04-16 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 59.1%

OTT: 40.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.26

OTT: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	4	0	0.22
1	OTT	16	0	0.36
2	BOS	18	1	1.38
2	OTT	9	0	0.38
3	BOS	23	2	2.01
3	OTT	3	2	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6