Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-04-16 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 57.6%
TOR: 42.4%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.24
TOR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | FLA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.966 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • FLA at home vs TOR: 6-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | FLA | ||
| 2026-01-06 | TOR 4 - 1 FLA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-12-02 | FLA 1 - 4 TOR | TOR | FLA |
| 2025-05-18 | TOR 1 - 6 FLA | FLA | TOR |
| 2025-05-16 | FLA 0 - 2 TOR | TOR | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:25 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 11:18 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:28 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:32 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:42 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:42 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:40 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0