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2025-26 Season Live

Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-04-16 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
MTL: 45.6%
DET: 54.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.07
DET: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
StatMTLDET
Season SV%0.8890.893
Last 5 SV%0.8910.862
SV% vs Opponent0.9480.918
GAA3.012.97
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MTL at home vs DET: 2-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-03-19DET 3 - 1 MTLDETDET
2026-01-10MTL 0 - 4 DETDETMTL
2025-10-09DET 1 - 5 MTLMTLDET
2025-04-08MTL 4 - 1 DETMTLDET
2025-01-23DET 4 - 2 MTLDETDET

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
111:32MTLGoal
118:29MTLGoal
206:17MTLGoal
210:09MTLGoal
210:45MTLGoal
303:31MTLGoal
312:46MTLGoal
319:55MTLGoal
500:00MTLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 4 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9