Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-04-16 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

VGK: 66.5%

CHI: 33.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.76

CHI: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-02-27	VGK 7 - 5 CHI	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.63
1	CHI	12	0	0.67
2	VGK	16	0	1.07
2	CHI	6	0	0.21
3	VGK	20	2	1.96
3	CHI	14	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.8 - 2.5