Chicago Blackhawks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-04-16 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 63.9%
CHI: 36.1%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.48
CHI: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | VGK | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.850 | 0.883 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • VGK at home vs CHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | VGK 4 - 0 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-04 | CHI 3 - 2 VGK | CHI | VGK |
| 2025-12-02 | VGK 4 - 3 CHI | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-28 | CHI 3 - 5 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-27 | VGK 7 - 5 CHI | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 16:25 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 07:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 16:02 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:24 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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