Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-04-16 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 62.7%
CGY: 37.3%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.45
CGY: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | VAN | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.758 | 0.890 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CGY 7 - 3 VAN | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-23 | VAN 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | VAN |
| 2025-10-09 | VAN 5 - 1 CGY | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-03-12 | CGY 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | CGY |
| 2024-12-31 | CGY 3 - 1 VAN | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 13:28 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 01:58 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:02 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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