Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-04-17 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 54.5%
PIT: 45.5%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.99
PIT: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NYI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.873 | 0.830 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs PIT: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | NYI 5 - 4 PIT | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-10-09 | PIT 4 - 3 NYI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-03-18 | PIT 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | PIT |
| 2024-12-29 | PIT 3 - 2 NYI | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-28 | NYI 6 - 3 PIT | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:29 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:14 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:19 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:37 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:44 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:36 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 10:56 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:27 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1