Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-04-18 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 42.0%

VAN: 58.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.64

VAN: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs VAN: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	0.83
1	VAN	10	1	0.94
2	WPG	10	1	0.90
2	VAN	12	0	0.74
3	WPG	12	1	1.45
3	VAN	8	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.6 - 3.7