San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-04-18 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CGY: 67.0%

SJS: 33.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 4.00

SJS: 2.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	18	0	0.99
1	SJS	12	0	0.82
2	CGY	22	1	1.27
2	SJS	12	0	0.39
3	CGY	14	1	0.97
3	SJS	13	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.4