Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-04-18 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 62.9%
EDM: 37.1%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.44
EDM: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | COL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-11-30 | COL 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-04-18 | COL 5 - 1 EDM | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:19 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 05:48 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:37 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:17 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:22 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:00 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.6