Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-04-18 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

COL: 60.7%

EDM: 39.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.13

EDM: 3.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	19	2	1.76
1	EDM	9	0	0.47
2	COL	13	0	0.73
2	EDM	14	1	0.67
3	COL	9	0	0.60
3	EDM	18	4	1.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8