Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-04-22 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 41.6%
TOR: 58.4%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.95
TOR: 3.21
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
| Stat | BOS | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.910 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | BOS 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | BOS |
| 2025-11-11 | BOS 5 - 3 TOR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-08 | TOR 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | TOR |
| 2025-02-25 | BOS 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-01-04 | TOR 6 - 4 BOS | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:18 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 10:32 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 19:52 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:26 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 12:06 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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