Boston Bruins at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-04-27 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 57.8%

BOS: 42.2%

Expected Goals

TOR: 2.76

BOS: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 3.6

Over 5.5: 24%

Over 6.5: 15%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TOR at home vs BOS: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	BOS 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	BOS
2025-11-11	BOS 5 - 3 TOR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-08	TOR 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	TOR
2025-02-25	BOS 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2025-01-04	TOR 6 - 4 BOS	TOR	TOR

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	15:09	BOS	Goal
2	08:20	BOS	Goal
2	19:18	BOS	Goal
3	05:43	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 1 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.8 - 2.8