Toronto Maple Leafs at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-05-04 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 58.9%
TOR: 41.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.45
TOR: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BOS | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs TOR: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 | BOS 5 - 3 TOR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-11-08 | TOR 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | TOR |
| 2025-02-25 | BOS 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | BOS |
| 2025-01-04 | TOR 6 - 4 BOS | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-11-05 | TOR 4 - 0 BOS | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 09:01 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:22 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 01:54 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 2.4 - 3.0