Washington Capitals at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-23 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

NYR: 57.9%

WSH: 42.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.54

WSH: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	14	0	0.83
1	WSH	9	0	0.43
2	NYR	14	1	0.98
2	WSH	14	0	0.61
3	NYR	13	2	1.67
3	WSH	14	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1