New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-04-26 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 51.1%

NYR: 48.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.14

NYR: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	12	0	0.72
1	NYR	14	1	0.94
2	WSH	9	0	0.66
2	NYR	13	0	0.72
3	WSH	17	2	1.67
3	NYR	8	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4