New York Rangers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-04-28 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 57.9%

NYR: 42.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.11

NYR: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WSH at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	NYR 8 - 1 WSH	NYR	NYR
2025-12-31	WSH 6 - 3 NYR	WSH	WSH
2025-12-23	WSH 3 - 7 NYR	NYR	WSH
2025-10-12	NYR 0 - 1 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-05	NYR 2 - 3 WSH	WSH	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	11	0	0.78
1	NYR	15	2	0.95
2	WSH	15	0	0.90
2	NYR	10	0	0.50
3	WSH	14	0	0.59
3	NYR	11	1	1.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8