New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-04-20 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

CAR: 74.9%

NYI: 25.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.58

NYI: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.93
1	NYI	12	2	1.44
2	CAR	16	0	0.74
2	NYI	15	0	0.43
3	CAR	19	2	1.77
3	NYI	17	2	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 4.6 - 2.6