New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-04-22 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 75.6%
NYI: 24.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.51
NYI: 2.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • CAR at home vs NYI: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | NYI 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | NYI |
| 2026-04-04 | CAR 4 - 3 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-30 | CAR 6 - 2 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-30 | CAR 6 - 4 NYI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-25 | NYI 3 - 2 CAR | NYI | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 22 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 1 | NYI | 12 | 2 | 1.58 |
| 2 | CAR | 24 | 2 | 2.11 |
| 2 | NYI | 4 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 3 | CAR | 25 | 2 | 2.62 |
| 3 | NYI | 4 | 1 | 0.40 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 4.5 - 2.5
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