Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-04-27 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (69% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 31.2%

CAR: 68.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.53

CAR: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	0.57
1	CAR	16	2	0.94
2	NYI	9	2	0.63
2	CAR	25	1	1.54
3	NYI	15	1	1.01
3	CAR	8	0	0.47
4	NYI	17	1	0.95
4	CAR	20	0	0.66
5	NYI	2	0	0.22
5	CAR	1	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4