Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-04-21 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 33.6%

COL: 66.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.12

COL: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	1	0.62
1	COL	18	1	1.16
2	WPG	15	0	0.94
2	COL	16	2	0.98
3	WPG	12	1	1.03
3	COL	28	1	1.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 7 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4