Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-04-23 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 45.8%
COL: 54.2%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.35
COL: 3.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPG | 16 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 1 | COL | 23 | 2 | 1.34 |
| 2 | WPG | 12 | 1 | 0.53 |
| 2 | COL | 19 | 2 | 1.64 |
| 3 | WPG | 15 | 2 | 1.54 |
| 3 | COL | 8 | 1 | 0.82 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.3
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 3.9
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