Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-04-28 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 75.1%
WPG: 24.9%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.36
WPG: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • COL at home vs WPG: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | COL 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2026-03-26 | WPG 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-14 | WPG 3 - 1 COL | WPG | COL |
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 17 | 1 | 1.09 |
| 1 | WPG | 14 | 1 | 0.69 |
| 2 | COL | 21 | 3 | 2.34 |
| 2 | WPG | 11 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 3 | COL | 7 | 1 | 0.79 |
| 3 | WPG | 18 | 0 | 0.96 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 1 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 4.4 - 2.9
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