Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-04-30 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 55.6%
COL: 44.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.82
COL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | WPG | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • WPG at home vs COL: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | COL 3 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-22 | COL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | COL |
| 2025-01-11 | WPG 3 - 0 COL | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-31 | COL 5 - 2 WPG | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-07 | WPG 1 - 0 COL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:15 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 03:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:42 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 13:45 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:06 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 04:11 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:01 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:58 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0