Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-04-21 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 37.9%
NSH: 62.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.06
NSH: 3.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs NSH: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | VAN 4 - 3 NSH | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-11-03 | NSH 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-10-23 | NSH 2 - 1 VAN | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-29 | NSH 1 - 3 VAN | VAN | NSH |
| 2025-01-03 | VAN 0 - 3 NSH | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 13 | 0 | 0.87 |
| 1 | NSH | 8 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | VAN | 16 | 0 | 0.77 |
| 2 | NSH | 18 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 3 | VAN | 12 | 2 | 1.23 |
| 3 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.40 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.1 - 3.7
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