Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-24 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 57.7%

LAK: 42.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.30

LAK: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • EDM at home vs LAK: 8-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	1	0.88
1	LAK	9	1	0.78
2	EDM	20	1	1.66
2	LAK	14	1	0.88
3	EDM	9	0	0.40
3	LAK	15	0	0.60
4	EDM	2	0	0.03
4	LAK	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9