Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-05-06 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 63.9%

BOS: 36.1%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.33

BOS: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	0	0.58
1	BOS	16	1	1.17
2	FLA	20	0	1.10
2	BOS	14	0	0.79
3	FLA	23	1	1.32
3	BOS	12	2	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0