Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-05-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 49.7%

FLA: 50.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.84

FLA: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • BOS at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	0	0.36
1	FLA	22	0	1.33
2	BOS	17	1	1.32
2	FLA	19	0	0.69
3	BOS	7	0	0.45
3	FLA	21	2	2.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0