Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-05-14 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 61.1%
BOS: 38.9%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.92
BOS: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 39%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | FLA 2 - 1 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 6 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 1 | BOS | 16 | 0 | 0.66 |
| 2 | FLA | 20 | 0 | 1.20 |
| 2 | BOS | 9 | 0 | 0.69 |
| 3 | FLA | 16 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 3 | BOS | 12 | 2 | 1.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.9 - 2.9
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