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2025-26 Season Live

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-05-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
NYR: 40.2%
CAR: 59.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.30
CAR: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 31%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
StatNYRCAR
Season SV%0.9100.901
Last 5 SV%0.9120.887
SV% vs Opponent0.9330.944
GAA2.512.33
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-02-05NYR 0 - 2 CARCARNYR
2025-12-29CAR 3 - 2 NYRCARCAR
2025-11-26CAR 2 - 4 NYRNYRCAR
2025-11-04NYR 0 - 3 CARCARNYR
2025-04-12CAR 7 - 3 NYRCARCAR

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
110:53NYRGoal
115:07NYRGoal
119:54CARGoal
207:32NYRGoal
218:18CARGoal
306:07NYRGoal
507:24NYRGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.3 - 3.2