Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-05-07 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 37.8%

CAR: 62.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.45

CAR: 3.85

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYR at home vs CAR: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	1	0.93
1	CAR	21	0	1.23
2	NYR	14	1	1.17
2	CAR	18	1	1.41
3	NYR	17	2	1.84
3	CAR	25	0	1.36
4	NYR	9	2	0.92
4	CAR	15	1	0.90
5	NYR	3	0	0.34
5	CAR	8	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.4 - 3.8