New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-05-09 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (76% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 75.6%

NYR: 24.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.73

NYR: 2.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	24	1	0.98
1	NYR	15	1	1.18
2	CAR	27	0	1.71
2	NYR	19	0	1.25
3	CAR	17	0	0.84
3	NYR	10	0	0.56
4	CAR	1	0	0.02
4	NYR	2	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.3