New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-05-16 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 72.9%

NYR: 27.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.69

NYR: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • CAR at home vs NYR: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.44
1	NYR	14	0	0.34
2	CAR	16	3	1.64
2	NYR	16	0	0.77
3	CAR	22	1	1.27
3	NYR	20	4	2.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 72.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5