Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-05-09 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 61.9%
COL: 38.1%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.19
COL: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | DAL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs COL: 5-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | DAL 0 - 2 COL | COL | DAL |
| 2026-03-18 | COL 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | COL |
| 2026-03-06 | DAL 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-03 | DAL 4 - 2 COL | DAL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:46 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:57 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:54 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:06 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:06 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:16 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:39 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9
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