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Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-05-08 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
VAN: 43.4%
EDM: 56.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.10
EDM: 3.63
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 81%
Over 6.5: 65%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
StatVANEDM
Season SV%0.8850.906
Last 5 SV%0.8720.837
SV% vs Opponent—1.000
GAA3.412.73
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-17VAN 0 - 6 EDMEDMEDM
2025-10-26VAN 4 - 3 EDMVANEDM
2025-10-11EDM 3 - 1 VANEDMEDM
2025-01-23EDM 6 - 2 VANEDMEDM
2025-01-18VAN 3 - 2 EDMVANEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
102:11EDMGoal
115:01EDMGoal
200:53EDMGoal
212:26EDMGoal
213:11EDMGoal
217:01EDMGoal
309:38EDMGoal
313:47VANGoal
314:26VANGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 5 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.6