Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-05-12 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 58.3%

VAN: 41.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.59

VAN: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	2	1.42
1	VAN	15	1	0.98
2	EDM	19	0	1.00
2	VAN	6	0	0.70
3	EDM	30	1	1.85
3	VAN	6	1	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.6 - 2.8