Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-05-12 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 61.3%
VAN: 38.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.36
VAN: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | EDM | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | — |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • EDM at home vs VAN: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VAN 0 - 6 EDM | EDM | VAN |
| 2025-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 EDM | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-10-11 | EDM 3 - 1 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-23 | EDM 6 - 2 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-18 | VAN 3 - 2 EDM | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 08:45 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 13:18 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:34 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:35 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:44 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8