Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-05-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

EDM: 62.2%

VAN: 37.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.57

VAN: 2.67

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	2	1.50
1	VAN	9	0	0.69
2	EDM	17	0	0.93
2	VAN	13	0	0.48
3	EDM	12	1	1.02
3	VAN	18	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.6 - 2.7