Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-05-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 38.3%

EDM: 61.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.18

EDM: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	0	0.66
1	EDM	16	0	0.95
2	VAN	22	2	1.72
2	EDM	7	0	0.45
3	VAN	13	1	0.96
3	EDM	17	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.2 - 3.5