Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-05-16 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 54.9%
EDM: 45.1%
Expected Goals
VAN: 3.05
EDM: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | VAN | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 1.000 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | VAN 0 - 6 EDM | EDM | VAN |
| 2025-10-26 | VAN 4 - 3 EDM | VAN | VAN |
| 2025-10-11 | EDM 3 - 1 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-23 | EDM 6 - 2 VAN | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-18 | VAN 3 - 2 EDM | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:34 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 17:27 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 17:50 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:14 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:27 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1