Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-05-18 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

EDM: 62.7%

VAN: 37.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.76

VAN: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	1	0.66
1	VAN	16	1	1.09
2	EDM	22	0	1.44
2	VAN	10	0	0.32
3	EDM	13	0	0.60
3	VAN	14	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.8 - 2.5