Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-05-20 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

VAN: 40.5%

EDM: 59.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.08

EDM: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	7	0	0.39
1	EDM	17	0	0.66
2	VAN	18	0	1.07
2	EDM	17	0	1.04
3	VAN	12	2	1.20
3	EDM	2	0	0.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.1 - 3.6